STATISTICS - Section 1,

 

Discrete Random Variables 1

 

 

Probability Function

Cumulative Distribution Function

 

 

 

Concept

 

The basic idea is assign a real number xr to every event Er happening in the sample space S .

 

 

Example

 

Consider the case when a coin is tossed twice. The possible results( the Sample Space S) are:

 

 

(T T)   (T H)   (H T)   (H H)

 

 

Assigning numbers for the number of 'heads' (H) occuring:

 

 

(0)   (1)   (1)   (2)

 

 

So overall, there are 3 possible outcomes:

 

 

no heads     one head     two heads

 

 

This can be written as the result:

 

 

0               1              2

 

 

So the probability of flipping a coin twice and obtaining a head is given by:

 

 

no. of heads

 

sample space S

 

probability

 

0
(T T)   (T H)   (H T)   (H H)
1/4
1
(T T)   (T H)   (H T)   (H H)
1/2
2
(T T)   (T H)   (H T)   (H H)
1/4

 

 

 

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The Probability (Density) Function PDF

 

The probability function of X, written as P(X=x), is used to allocate probabilities.

 

 

We describe X as a discrete random variable, when it has a finite number of possible values and if the sum of probabilities is one.

 

X takes the value xr when the event Er occurs.

 

 

From our example(above) it is self evident that:

 

 

   event E = 1     one head    x = 1      P(X=1) = 1/2

 

 

So all the results in our example could be displayed as:

 

 

event E
x
sample space S
P(X=x)
0
0
(T T)   (T H)   (H T)   (H H)
1/4
1
1
(T T)   (T H)   (H T)   (H H)
1/2
2
2
(T T)   (T H)   (H T)   (H H)
1/4

 

 

The probability function can also be written as p(x) .

 

therefore,

 

P(X=x) = p(x)

 

 

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Cumulative Distribution Function CDF

 

 

 

 

 

This function returns the sum of probabilities of X for values of x less than or equal to x0 .

 

It also may be described as the function F(x0) giving the probability of X when its value is less than or equal to x0 .

 

A more general definition is that cumulative probability F(x0) is the value a random variable takes when it falls between a specific range.

 

 

 

Example #1

 

Consider a situation where there are four possible outcomes(x = 0, 1, 2, 3 ), with different probabilities for each of these.


The probability that X is less than or equal to 3 is given by:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Example #2 (with reference to the coin flip table above)

 

A coin is flipped twice. What is the probability that '1' head or '0' heads result?

 

 

 

 

 

All the results for heads(x) from 2 coin flips can be summarized in a modified table:

 

 

E
x
P(X=x)
P(X<x)
0
0
(T T)   (T H)   (H T)   (H H)
1/4
1/4
1
1
(T T)   (T H)   (H T)   (H H)
1/2
3/4
2
2
(T T)   (T H)   (H T)   (H H)
1/4
1

 

 

Notice how P(X<x) is derived from P(X=x) when x is incremented.

 

 

 

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