STATISTICS - Section 1,

 

Discrete Random Variables 4

 

 

defn. Discrete Uniform Distribution

derivation Expected Value

derivation Variance

 

 

 

Revision

 

A continuous random variable can have any value between two specified values.

 

eg   x = 3.14   from   2 < x < 4

 

A discrete random variable has only one value chosen from a list of exact values.

 

eg   x = 7    from  3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9

 

 

Definition of a Discrete Uniform Distribution

 

This is a probability distribution where a number of equally spaced values are equally likely to happen.

 

If there are  n values each has an equal probability 1/n of occuring.

 

Take the example of throwing a fair die. The graph below describes the distribution of probabilities.

The appearance is a straight line. Each probability for each event is the same.

 

 

graph of P(X) against X

 

 

In mathematical terms, a discrete normal distribution is a set of n integer values.

 

Values vary incrementally from the lowest value, a to the highest value, b.*

 

a,   a+1,   a+2,   a+3, .  .  .  . b-3,   b-2,   b-1,   b

 

*note a and b are both integers, where a < b

 

The number of values is b - a + 1 .

 

To make this clear, think of a series that starts with a = 3 and ends with b = 11 .

Since each value is incremented by '1' , the number of values is ( 11 - 3 + 1 = 9 )

 

3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11

 

So the probability P(X = x) of each value occuring 1/n , is given by:

 

 

 

 

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Derivation of Expected Value (for discrete uniform distribution)

 

Generally, the expected value is given by:

 

 

 

 

but p(xr) is the same for each vale, that is 1/n , hence:

 

 

 

 

The expression is the sum(S) of an arithmetic progression, with the first term a ,

last term is b a common difference of '1' and n terms.

 

 

 

hence,

 

 

 

In the example of tossing a fair die*, a = 1 and b = n .

 

*or any situation where the outcomes are consecutive numbers starting with 1

 

 

 

 

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Derivation of Variance (for discrete uniform distribution)*

 

*simplified case with a = 1 and b = n

 

 

Variance is found from the expected value expression:

 

 

 

 

We already have E(X) from above. So E(X)2 is given by:

 

 

 

 

E(X)2 is found from:

 

 

This simplifies to:

 

 

 

 

The sum Sn of a series of n squared numbers is given by:

 

 

therefore,

 

 

 

cancelling the n's

 

 

 

substituting for E(X2)and E(X)2 into the Var(X) equation:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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